Survey Results

Sleeping beauty (woken once if heads, woken twice if tails, credence in heads on waking?): one-half or one-third?

Population

AOS

Region

for

Exclude answers beyond respondent's first 50

Include skip/insufficiently familiar answers

429 respondents

What the percentages mean: "Accept or lean toward P: 50% (40%)" means that 50% of respondents endorsed this answer inclusively (including multiple-answer endorsements) and 40% endorsed this answer exclusively (excluding multiple-answer endorsements).

These results should not be used for comparison to 2009 results due to different populations and parameters. For meaningful longitudinal comparisons, see the longitudinal analysis section.

Collapse accept and lean towards

Accept or lean towards:
one-third

27.74% (27.74%)

Reject or lean against:
one-third

0.23% (0.00%)

Accept or lean towards:
one-half

18.65% (18.65%)

Reject or lean against:
one-half

0.23% (0.00%)

Accept a combination of views

0.23%

Accept an alternative view

1.17%

The question is too unclear to answer

8.39%

There is no fact of the matter

3.26%

Agnostic/undecided

40.33%

Other

0.23%

N = 429, excluding skipped & insufficiently familiar (702 respondents)

Alternative Views

8 target respondents indicated that they accept or lean toward an alternative view. The words used in their responses cluster as follows. These results are not filtered by AOS, region, etc.

DEPE (4): depends (4)

Longitudinal comparison to 2009 survey

This question was not in the 2009 survey

Strongest correlations with main questions (target population)

r: 0.18	Response to external-world skepticism: epistemic externalist
Sleeping beauty: one-third	Accept	Reject
Accept	27	70
Reject	36	154

n: 287

p: 0.0027

r: -0.17	Interlevel metaphysics: realization
Sleeping beauty: one-third	Accept	Reject
Accept	20	61
Reject	44	113

n: 238

p: 0.0074

r: 0.16	Propositions: structured entities
Sleeping beauty: one-third	Accept	Reject
Accept	47	42
Reject	74	105

n: 268

p: 0.0084

r: 0.15	Science: scientific realism
Sleeping beauty: one-third	Accept	Reject
Accept	99	13
Reject	188	46

n: 346

p: 0.0058

r: -0.15	Consciousness: identity theory
Sleeping beauty: one-third	Accept	Reject
Accept	11	87
Reject	31	170

n: 299

p: 0.0106

r: -0.14	Philosophical methods: conceptual analysis
Sleeping beauty: one-third	Accept	Reject
Accept	77	40
Reject	173	61

n: 351

p: 0.0076

r: 0.14	Concepts: nativism
Sleeping beauty: one-third	Accept	Reject
Accept	36	49
Reject	51	106

n: 242

p: 0.0278

r: -0.14	Knowledge: empiricism
Sleeping beauty: one-third	Accept	Reject
Accept	49	46
Reject	114	79

n: 288

p: 0.019

r: -0.14	Arguments for theism: pragmatic
Sleeping beauty: one-third	Accept	Reject
Accept	14	80
Reject	32	158

n: 284

p: 0.0201

r: 0.14	Method in history of philosophy: analytic/rational reconstruction
Sleeping beauty: one-third	Accept	Reject
Accept	62	25
Reject	118	53

n: 258

p: 0.03

r: -0.13	Propositions: nonexistent
Sleeping beauty: one-third	Accept	Reject
Accept	8	81
Reject	30	148

n: 267

p: 0.032

r: -0.13	Values in science: necessarily value-laden
Sleeping beauty: one-third	Accept	Reject
Accept	34	65
Reject	81	123

n: 303

p: 0.0249

r: 0.13	Rational disagreement: non-permissivism
Sleeping beauty: one-third	Accept	Reject
Accept	29	78
Reject	44	159

n: 310

p: 0.0236

r: -0.13	Propositional attitudes: phenomenal
Sleeping beauty: one-third	Accept	Reject
Accept	5	82
Reject	17	161

n: 265

p: 0.0371

r: 0.13	Zombies: conceivable but not metaphysically possible
Sleeping beauty: one-third	Accept	Reject
Accept	56	50
Reject	81	138

n: 325

p: 0.0211

r: 0.13	Race categories: preserve
Sleeping beauty: one-third	Accept	Reject
Accept	5	76
Reject	10	166

n: 257

p: 0.0426

r: 0.13	Moral judgment: cognitivism
Sleeping beauty: one-third	Accept	Reject
Accept	89	23
Reject	181	59

n: 352

p: 0.0179

r: 0.13	Semantic content: moderate contextualism (intermediate)
Sleeping beauty: one-third	Accept	Reject
Accept	62	24
Reject	96	80

n: 262

p: 0.0432

r: -0.12	Philosophical methods: empirical philosophy
Sleeping beauty: one-third	Accept	Reject
Accept	72	45
Reject	169	65

n: 351

p: 0.0192

r: -0.12	Zombies: inconceivable
Sleeping beauty: one-third	Accept	Reject
Accept	11	95
Reject	40	177

n: 323

p: 0.0271

r: 0.12	Aim of philosophy: truth/knowledge
Sleeping beauty: one-third	Accept	Reject
Accept	64	45
Reject	106	116

n: 331

p: 0.0344

r: 0.11	Immortality: yes
Sleeping beauty: one-third	Accept	Reject
Accept	62	38
Reject	96	109

n: 305

p: 0.0449

r: -0.11	Laws of nature: Humean
Sleeping beauty: one-third	Accept	Reject
Accept	34	79
Reject	79	148

n: 340

p: 0.045

r: -0.1	External world: skepticism
Sleeping beauty: one-third	Accept	Reject
Accept	5	110
Reject	16	224

n: 355

p: 0.0493

Strongest correlations with demographic questions (target population)

r: 0.18	AOS: Philosophy of Physical Science
Sleeping beauty: one-third	Yes	No
Accept	12	105
Reject	5	247

n: 369

p: 0.0004

r: 0.14	AOS: Epistemology
Sleeping beauty: one-third	Yes	No
Accept	50	67
Reject	86	166

n: 369

p: 0.0073

r: 0.12	Philosopher: Putnam
Sleeping beauty: one-third	Yes	No
Accept	8	87
Reject	6	176

n: 277

p: 0.0378

r: 0.12	AOS: Decision Theory
Sleeping beauty: one-third	Yes	No
Accept	18	99
Reject	14	238

n: 369

p: 0.0229