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Survey Results
Newcomb's problem: one box or two boxes?
48 respondents
Accept or lean towards:
one box
one box
20.83% (18.75%)
Reject or lean against:
one box
one box
0.00% (0.00%)
Accept or lean towards:
two boxes
two boxes
72.92% (70.83%)
Reject or lean against:
two boxes
two boxes
0.00% (0.00%)
Accept a combination of views
2.08%
Accept an alternative view
0.00%
The question is too unclear to answer
0.00%
There is no fact of the matter
0.00%
Agnostic/undecided
8.33%
Other
0.00%
Longitudinal comparison to 2009 survey
Geographic filters do not apply to this section.
Option | 2009 | 2020 | Change | Swing | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Option | |||||||||||||
Accept or lean towards: one box | 25.81% | 18.18% | 7.63 | -7.26 |
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Accept or lean towards: two boxes | 61.29% | 68.18% | 6.89 | 7.26 |
| ||||||||
Accept a combination of views | 0% | 4.55% | 4.55 |
| |||||||||
Accept an alternative view | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| |||||||||
The question is too unclear to answer | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| |||||||||
There is no fact of the matter | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| |||||||||
Insufficiently familiar with the issue | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| |||||||||
Agnostic/undecided | 6.45% | 9.09% | 2.64 |
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Skipped | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
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Other | 6.45% | 0% | 6.45 |
|
N (2009) = 31
Weighted values
Option | 2009 | 2020 | Change |
---|---|---|---|
One box | 20.45 | 33.06 | 12.61 |
Two boxes | 75 | 60.48 | 14.52 |
Strongest correlations with main questions (target population)
r: 0.15
| ||
---|---|---|
Newcomb's problem: one box | Accept | Reject |
Accept | 51 | 139 |
Reject | 60 | 286 |
n: 536
p: 0.0004
r: 0.13
| ||
---|---|---|
Newcomb's problem: one box | Accept | Reject |
Accept | 112 | 174 |
Reject | 182 | 391 |
n: 859
p < 0.0001
r: 0.13
| ||
---|---|---|
Newcomb's problem: one box | Accept | Reject |
Accept | 72 | 99 |
Reject | 99 | 214 |
n: 484
p: 0.0041
r: 0.12
| ||
---|---|---|
Newcomb's problem: one box | Accept | Reject |
Accept | 168 | 143 |
Reject | 284 | 325 |
n: 920
p < 0.0001
r: 0.11
| ||
---|---|---|
Newcomb's problem: one box | Accept | Reject |
Accept | 12 | 204 |
Reject | 6 | 401 |
n: 623
p: 0.0042
r: 0.1
| ||
---|---|---|
Newcomb's problem: one box | Accept | Reject |
Accept | 96 | 191 |
Reject | 159 | 399 |
n: 845
p: 0.0038
r: 0.1
| ||
---|---|---|
Newcomb's problem: one box | Accept | Reject |
Accept | 84 | 173 |
Reject | 114 | 374 |
n: 745
p: 0.0093
r: 0.09
| ||
---|---|---|
Newcomb's problem: one box | Accept | Reject |
Accept | 49 | 170 |
Reject | 70 | 313 |
n: 602
p: 0.0272
r: 0.09
| ||
---|---|---|
Newcomb's problem: one box | Accept | Reject |
Accept | 26 | 273 |
Reject | 42 | 523 |
n: 864
p: 0.0099
r: 0.09
| ||
---|---|---|
Newcomb's problem: one box | Accept | Reject |
Accept | 83 | 99 |
Reject | 130 | 228 |
n: 540
p: 0.0432
r: -0.09
| ||
---|---|---|
Newcomb's problem: one box | Accept | Reject |
Accept | 248 | 68 |
Reject | 510 | 106 |
n: 932
p: 0.0087
r: 0.09
| ||
---|---|---|
Newcomb's problem: one box | Accept | Reject |
Accept | 216 | 63 |
Reject | 369 | 165 |
n: 813
p: 0.0148
r: -0.08
| ||
---|---|---|
Newcomb's problem: one box | Accept | Reject |
Accept | 177 | 141 |
Reject | 377 | 230 |
n: 925
p: 0.0111
r: 0.08
| ||
---|---|---|
Newcomb's problem: one box | Accept | Reject |
Accept | 124 | 194 |
Reject | 200 | 407 |
n: 925
p: 0.0132
r: 0.08
| ||
---|---|---|
Newcomb's problem: one box | Accept | Reject |
Accept | 73 | 212 |
Reject | 121 | 431 |
n: 837
p: 0.0189
r: 0.08
| ||
---|---|---|
Newcomb's problem: one box | Accept | Reject |
Accept | 54 | 260 |
Reject | 100 | 522 |
n: 936
p: 0.0133
r: 0.08
| ||
---|---|---|
Newcomb's problem: one box | Accept | Reject |
Accept | 198 | 100 |
Reject | 348 | 229 |
n: 875
p: 0.018
r: -0.08
| ||
---|---|---|
Newcomb's problem: one box | Accept | Reject |
Accept | 64 | 247 |
Reject | 148 | 462 |
n: 921
p: 0.0186
r: 0.08
| ||
---|---|---|
Newcomb's problem: one box | Accept | Reject |
Accept | 117 | 139 |
Reject | 220 | 303 |
n: 779
p: 0.0308
r: -0.07
| ||
---|---|---|
Newcomb's problem: one box | Accept | Reject |
Accept | 82 | 210 |
Reject | 167 | 389 |
n: 848
p: 0.0309
r: -0.07
| ||
---|---|---|
Newcomb's problem: one box | Accept | Reject |
Accept | 243 | 55 |
Reject | 483 | 108 |
n: 889
p: 0.0375
r: 0.07
| ||
---|---|---|
Newcomb's problem: one box | Accept | Reject |
Accept | 20 | 295 |
Reject | 27 | 596 |
n: 938
p: 0.0344
Strongest correlations with demographic questions (target population)
r: -0.13
| ||
---|---|---|
Newcomb's problem: one box | Yes | No |
Accept | 10 | 318 |
Reject | 38 | 598 |
n: 964
p < 0.0001
r: 0.09
| ||
---|---|---|
Newcomb's problem: one box | Yes | No |
Accept | 33 | 202 |
Reject | 39 | 417 |
n: 691
p: 0.0135
r: -0.09
| ||
---|---|---|
Newcomb's problem: one box | Yes | No |
Accept | 12 | 229 |
Reject | 52 | 426 |
n: 719
p: 0.0136
r: 0.08
| ||
---|---|---|
Newcomb's problem: one box | Yes | No |
Accept | 8 | 227 |
Reject | 6 | 450 |
n: 691
p: 0.0278
r: 0.06
| ||
---|---|---|
Newcomb's problem: one box | Yes | No |
Accept | 6 | 326 |
Reject | 2 | 645 |
n: 979
p: 0.0495